The yield curve has moved away from inverted status, leading many to conclude the possibility of recession has been avoided. However, a look at past recessions reveals that a reversal of an inversion typically occurs prior to the economic decline– ranging from 6 months to over a year in advance.
Aug
05
2007
Yield Curve Moved Positive In May, But We Are Not Out Of The Water
tags
Yield CurveLogin
For full access, please enter your credentials.
Not a Subscriber?
If you are interested in subscribing to The Leuthold Group, contact us online or give us a call at 612-332-1567.
Contact UsAbout The Author
current issue
featured articles
recent tags
Bank Lending
(1)
Wealth Effect
(9)
Resession
(1)
Dollar
(55)
Inflation
(584)
Time Cycles
(6)
Oil
(48)
Breakeven Rate
(1)
Value
(130)
Treasuries
(79)
Long T-Bonds
(24)
Active vs. Passive
(17)
Yield Curve
(85)
Economy
(282)
Federal Spending
(2)
Stock Market Performance
(1)
Federal Debt/Deficit
(194)
Fed Policy
(173)
Federal Outlays
(1)
Stimulus
(4)