Bond Yield

Bond Yield

  • Bonds

    Economic Outlook

    November 03, 2004 BY Jim Floyd and Steve Leuthold

    Everyday consumers must find it difficult to believe twelve month inflation is just 2.5% (CPI-U), especially when filling up their gas tanks and their grocery carts.

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  • Stock Market

    Economic Outlook

    July 04, 2004 BY Jim Floyd and Steve Leuthold

    GDP growth of 5.0% projected for 2004. But, fast growing U.S. budget deficit ($458 billion in 2004?) is a significant problem for bonds.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    November 05, 2003 BY Steve Leuthold and Jim Floyd

    Economy picking up steam in second half. Early Q3 GDP estimate much better than expected.

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  • Of Special Interest

    The Blind Stampede Into Bond Funds

    August 05, 2003 BY Eric Bjorgen

    Investor preference toward bond funds, chasing performance, may be left behind once again. Bonds not expected to generate very good returns from current levels based on historical analysis of returns.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    December 05, 1999 BY Jim Floyd and Steve Leuthold

    Rising equity prices, strong economic news, and inflation trends  make further Fed tightening likely (next year).

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  • Bonds

    Inside the Bond Market

    July 04, 1998 BY Jim Floyd and Steve Leuthold

    Bond market getting ahead of itself, fueled by flight to credit quality...But money flows could slow, should Asia outlook improve or Japan act decisively.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    March 05, 1998 BY Steve Leuthold and Jim Floyd

    Asian crisis not yet applying brakes to strong U.S. economy...Asia should be bigger “drag” on U.S. in next six months. Near term, bond market still correcting from being somewhat extended.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    December 02, 1997 BY Jim Floyd and Steve Leuthold

    Long treasuries are still well above the underlying interest rate (real rate of 4%-5%). The inflation outlook remains tame.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    November 05, 1997 BY Jim Floyd and Steve Leuthold

    Among the industrial nations, U.S. bond market offers highest yields, a reversal from earlier in the decade. Inflation outlook positive.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    October 05, 1997 BY Jim Floyd and Steve Leuthold

    Among the industrial nations, U.S. bond market offers highest yields, a reversal from earlier in the decade...A return to “normalcy” implies falling US bond yields.

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