Bonds

Bonds

  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    July 07, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    The bond market is in the midst of both secular and cyclical bull moves. The cyclical bull market target zone is 9% yields for T-bonds, maybe much lower on a secular basis. The current correction might run to 12%-12.5% for T-bonds, but we are tempted to start a buying program before that.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    June 06, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    In recent weeks the municipal market has been relatively weak compared to other fixed income markets. Long municipal yields are now 89% of long T-bonds, back up to about the levels where we recommended our unorthodox move in early February. It looks like a great opportunity.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    May 05, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    The bond market is also in the midst of secular and cyclical bull moves and the six-month consolidation may be over. If T-Bonds clearly exceed November 1982 peaks, assume the cyclical bull market is back on track with a cyclical target zone of 8.5% yields...lower on a secular basis.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    April 07, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    The bond market is also in the midst of secular and cyclical bull moves. But intermediate-term is now a question mark. However, if bonds exceed November 1982 peaks, assume cyclical bull market back on track. Go with the flow.

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  • Bonds

    What Happens to the Stock Market When Inflation is Accelerating or Decelerating?

    April 07, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    An update of our historic research tracking all years of significant inflation acceleration and deceleration since 1900. If inflation does rise to 6% by year end 1983, the stock market outlook is not so bright.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    February 04, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    It would appear the bond market correction has further to go. In a few months we will probably recognize this as the first interest rate “hiccup” of the economic recovery.

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  • Bonds

    Opportunity in the Unlikely

    February 04, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    Long-term municipals now extraordinarily cheap relative to other fixed income instruments. Strange as it may seem, Muni’s may even be relatively attractive for non-taxable portfolios.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    January 06, 1983 BY Steve Leuthold

    While it certainly does not appear the big bull market in bonds is over, it would not be surprising to see an additional five to eight-point correction from current levels.

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  • Bonds

    Are Bonds Too Popular Now?

    September 10, 1982 BY Steve Leuthold

    Dedicated portfolios, TIGR types, long-term bond buy and holders and bond traders soaking up the government financing like so many sponges. For long-term T-Bonds at least, the demand may be greater than the supply for a while, creating a premium situation. It’s hard to believe a T-Bond could become an investment rarity, but these are strange times.

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  • Bonds

    U.S. 10-Year: Not All In Sync

    June 05, 2015 BY Chun Wang

    · The higher-highs/higher-lows pattern since the 10-year yield trough in January is encouraging but the bigger test is the 225-230 area.

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