Bonds

Bonds

  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    October 03, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    The bond market worked lower in the first half of September but rallied later in the month, cutting losses for the month in half. Short rates were little changed during September.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    September 01, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    Bonds moved higher in August but did not make new highs. However, it is only a matter of time. Most of our inflation work is still cool, but this month we present one of our tools that is mildly disturbing. The commodity spot price diffusion index seems to be on the rise, although not yet in negative territory.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    August 03, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    Bonds held their own in July but did not make new highs. However, it is only a matter of time. We don’t expect much in August but look for a move below 7% for T-bonds by year end.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    July 03, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    Bonds rallied strongly in June but did not make new highs. However, it is only a matter of time. Look for a test of the highs in July. Also, introducing “Inflation Watch,” a new regular feature that will report on our ongoing inflation research work.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    June 02, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    May saw the T-bond market come down into our buying zone and we are buyers in this issue. We expect 7% on T-bonds before 1986 is over (now 8.50%) and maybe lower. The stock and bond markets do not have to move together as May clearly demonstrated.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    May 04, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    April was a consolidation month and we think there could be weakness in the last half of May, carrying T-bonds to the 8%-8.25% level. However, we look for 7% before 1986 is over and possibly even 6%.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    April 03, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    Incredible action again in March. Long T-bonds are beating stocks year to date. Short-term and long-term bonds look higher and don’t ignore the possibility of a “return to normalcy” (6%) in 1986. It seems unlikely, but it could happen sooner than even we had imagined.

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  • Bonds

    Bond Market Summary

    March 05, 1986 BY Steve Leuthold

    Incredible February action. 8% looks like a trouble zone for a while, but we still expect to see 7.5% or lower over the next twelve months. Traders should be selling some bonds around 8%.

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  • Bonds

    Inside The Bond Market

    February 07, 1986 BY The Leuthold Research Team

    For the month the bond market, except for Municipals, ended just slightly lower than it started.

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  • Bonds

    Inside The Bond Market

    January 07, 1986 BY The Leuthold Research Team

    1985 was a vintage year for bonds, with long bond total returns more than matching the big publicized move in equities.

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